Football Academy Stadium · Analysis updated 02:43 UTC
BKMA vs FC Urartu Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.02 expected goals for BKMA and 1.43 for FC Urartu, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives FC Urartu the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.
Model pick
FC Urartu to Win
46.2% probability
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.43
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.6%
- 0–112.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–28.8%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Urartu to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 27% / 27% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.02 goals for BKMA and 1.43 for FC Urartu, a combined 2.45 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 44% and both teams to score at 49%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Model confidence
FC Urartu to Win is the headline pick at 46% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
BKMA
FC Urartu
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.