Abha vs Al-Adalah Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Abha and 1.18 for Al-Adalah, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Abha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Abha or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Abha win44%

Draw26%

Al-Adalah win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Abha home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Abha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Abha and 1.18 for Al-Adalah, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Abha

2026-08-13T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Hazm · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rizespor · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-19T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Sharjah FC · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-13T14:50:00.000Z · A vs Al-Raed · 1-5 (L)
2026-05-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Al-Adalah · 0-1 (L)

Al-Adalah

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Jeel	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Al Zulfi	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Al Bukayriyah	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Al Anwar	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Al Wehda Club	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Al-Adalah	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Al Najma	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Al Jandal	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Al Taee	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Al Okhdood	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Al Orubah	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Al-Raed	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Hajer	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Jeddah Club	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Al Saqer	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Damac	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Al Ula	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Al Jabalain	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.