Al-Jouf University Stadium · Analysis updated 03:30 UTC
Al Orubah vs Abha Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.91 expected goals for Al Orubah and 1.49 for Abha, a combined total of 2.40. That distribution gives Abha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.
Model pick
Abha to Win
50.7% probability
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.49
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.5%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–210.1%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–09.1%
Why the model likes this
Abha away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Abha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 23% / 26% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.91 goals for Al Orubah and 1.49 for Abha, a combined 2.40 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 43% and both teams to score at 46%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 3.80 | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.40 | William Hill |
| Match Result | Away | 1.75 | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.70 | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | 2.00 | William Hill |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.95 | William Hill |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.25 | William Hill |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.20 | William Hill |
Recent form
Al Orubah
Abha
- 2026-08-13T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Hazm · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rizespor · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-19T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Sharjah FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-13T14:50:00.000Z · A vs Al-Raed · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-05-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Al-Adalah · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-03T13:00:00.000Z · Al Orubah 1-2 Abha (Division 1)
- 2025-09-28T15:40:00.000Z · Al Orubah 3-2 Abha (Division 1)
- 2019-03-27T13:00:00.000Z · Al Orubah 1-1 Abha (Division 1)
- 2018-11-07T12:30:00.000Z · Al Orubah 2-0 Abha (Division 1)
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.