Estadio Jose Maria Minella · Referee F. Tello · Analysis updated 05:20 UTC
Aldosivi vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Aldosivi and 0.79 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, a combined total of 1.79. That distribution gives Aldosivi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 27% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.
Model pick
Aldosivi or Draw
72.1% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 0.79
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
67%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–016.7%
- 1–016.7%
- 0–113.2%
- 1–113.2%
- 2–08.3%
Why the model likes this
Aldosivi home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Aldosivi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 33% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for Aldosivi and 0.79 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, a combined 1.79 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 27% and both teams to score at 35%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.
Recent form
Aldosivi
- 2026-08-15T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Tigre · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-07T22:30:00.000Z · A vs Rosario Central · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Gimnasia L.P. · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-29T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Barracas Central · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-24T00:45:00.000Z · A vs Defensa Y Justicia · 1-1 (D)
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.