Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Apertura - 1316:30
AldosiviDLLLD

00

Saturday, 4 April 2026

Estadio Jose Maria Minella · Referee F. Tello · Analysis updated 05:20 UTC

Aldosivi vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Aldosivi and 0.79 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, a combined total of 1.79. That distribution gives Aldosivi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 27% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.

Model pick

Aldosivi or Draw

72.1% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

1.00 – 0.79

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Aldosivi win39%
Draw33%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

67%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals53%
Over 2.5 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals11%
Both teams to score35%

Correct score

  • 0–016.7%
  • 1–016.7%
  • 0–113.2%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 2–08.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Aldosivi home form

    3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Aldosivi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 33% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.00 goals for Aldosivi and 0.79 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, a combined 1.79 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 27% and both teams to score at 35%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.

Recent form

Aldosivi

  • 2026-08-15T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Tigre · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-07T22:30:00.000Z · A vs Rosario Central · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Gimnasia L.P. · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-29T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Barracas Central · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-24T00:45:00.000Z · A vs Defensa Y Justicia · 1-1 (D)

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Liga Profesional Argentina table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Estudiantes L.P.169431231
    2Boca Juniors168621330
    3Velez Sarsfield16772628
    4Talleres Cordoba16754426
    5Independiente16664424
    6Lanus16664324
    7San Lorenzo16574022
    8Union Santa Fe16565421
    9Instituto Cordoba16637021
    10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
    11Gimnasia M.16547-819
    12Platense16376-516
    13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
    14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
    15Deportivo Riestra16187-711
    1Independ. Rivadavia1610421434
    2River Plate169251029
    3Argentinos JRS16853429
    4Rosario Central16844428
    5Belgrano Cordoba16754426
    6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
    7Huracan16574422
    8Racing Club16565221
    9Barracas Central16565021
    10Tigre16484320
    11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
    12Banfield16538-218
    13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
    14Aldosivi16088-138
    15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195
    1Velez Sarsfield4310410
    2Instituto Cordoba430129
    3Newells Old Boys521217
    4Defensa Y Justicia4211-17
    5Estudiantes L.P.520326
    6Lanus420226
    7Deportivo Riestra520316
    8Independiente420216
    9Gimnasia M.420216
    10Central Cordoba de Santiago4202-16
    11Boca Juniors5131-26
    12San Lorenzo5203-26
    13Platense5122-45
    14Union Santa Fe5113-34
    15Talleres Cordoba4103-23
    1Argentinos JRS4400612
    2Belgrano Cordoba5311410
    3Barracas Central430119
    4Gimnasia L.P.5302-19
    5Tigre522128
    6Huracan421127
    7Rosario Central421117
    8Independ. Rivadavia5212-17
    9Banfield5212-17
    10Sarmiento Junin420206
    11Atletico Tucuman412115
    12Racing Club5113-34
    13Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto4112-34
    14Aldosivi5023-32
    15River Plate4004-40

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.