Lotto Park · Referee Lawrence Visser, Belgium · Analysis updated 01:52 UTC
Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Anderlecht and 1.34 for RAAL La Louvière, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Anderlecht the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.
Model pick
Anderlecht to Win
52.7% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.34
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.5%
- 1–19.5%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–07.1%
- 2–26.4%
Why the model likes this
Anderlecht home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Anderlecht to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 22% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Anderlecht and 1.34 for RAAL La Louvière, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 65% and both teams to score at 64%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Anderlecht
- 2026-08-13T18:30:00.000Z · H vs PAOK · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-09T16:30:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louvière · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-06T17:45:00.000Z · A vs PAOK · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Hammarby FF · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hammarby FF · 1-1 (D)
RAAL La Louvière
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Antwerp | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Union St. Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Zulte Waregem | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Charleroi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Anderlecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Genk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Cercle Brugge | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Standard Liege | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Lommel United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | SK Beveren | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louvière | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | KVC Westerlo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 17 | OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.