Antwerp vs St. Truiden Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Antwerp and 1.25 for St. Truiden, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Antwerp the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws roughly 40% of the time.

Model pick

Antwerp to Win

59.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.25 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Antwerp win60%

Draw20%

St. Truiden win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals46%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

2–19.6%
1–18.5%
2–07.6%
3–17.2%
1–06.8%

Why the model likes this

Antwerp home form
7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
St. Truiden away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Antwerp to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 20% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.25 goals for Antwerp and 1.25 for St. Truiden, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Antwerp

2026-08-15T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Kortrijk · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-09T17:15:00.000Z · H vs SK Beveren · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-02T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Leyton Orient · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Millwall · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-25T10:00:00.000Z · H vs K. Lierse S.K. · 1-1 (D)

St. Truiden

2026-08-14T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Cercle Brugge · 3-3 (D)
2026-08-08T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Lommel United · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs AEK Athens FC · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Helmond Sport · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Al-Jazira · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.