Sweden · Ettan - Södra · Södra - 2114:00

14:00 UTC

Saturday, 12 September 2026

OlympicDLWWW

Kopparvallen · Analysis updated 04:30 UTC

Atvidabergs FF vs Olympic Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.33 expected goals for Atvidabergs FF and 1.31 for Olympic, a combined total of 3.64. That distribution gives Atvidabergs FF the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws roughly 40% of the time.

Model pick

Atvidabergs FF to Win

60.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.33 – 1.31

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Atvidabergs FF win60%
Draw19%
Olympic win21%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–18.0%
  • 3–17.3%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 1–06.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Atvidabergs FF to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 19% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.33 goals for Atvidabergs FF and 1.31 for Olympic, a combined 3.64 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 66%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

  • Model confidence

    Atvidabergs FF to Win is the headline pick at 60% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Atvidabergs FF

    Olympic

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Ettan - Södra table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Trelleborg1610602236
      2Hässleholms IF179351230
      3AFC Malmo178541129
      4Atvidabergs FF168531129
      5Lund17773728
      6Rosengård16754626
      7Tvååker17746-225
      8Olympic17728-223
      9Jonkopings Sodra17647522
      10Eskilsminne16637-321
      11Trollhättan17476-719
      12Angelholms FF17386-217
      13Laholm175210-817
      14Kristianstad17458-817
      15Skövde AIK16385-1117
      16Utsikten161213-315

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.