USA · MLS Next Pro · Group Stage00:30
Austin IIOLOWL

00:30 UTC

Sunday, 16 August 2026

Parmer Filed · Analysis updated 23:48 UTC

Austin II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.88 expected goals for Austin II and 0.76 for Vancouver Whitecaps II, a combined total of 3.64. That distribution gives Austin II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws roughly 20% of the time.

Model pick

Austin II to Win

80.4% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.88 – 0.76

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Austin II win80%
Draw13%
Vancouver Whitecaps II win7%

Double chance 1X

93%

Double chance 12

88%

Double chance X2

20%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 2–010.9%
  • 3–010.4%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 3–17.9%
  • 1–07.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Austin II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 80%, against 80% / 13% / 7% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.88 goals for Austin II and 0.76 for Vancouver Whitecaps II, a combined 3.64 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 50%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

  • Model confidence

    Austin II to Win is the headline pick at 80% with high confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Austin II

    Vancouver Whitecaps II

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      MLS Next Pro table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1New England II2114071042
      2Columbus Crew II211407439
      3New York RB II2312011738
      4Connecticut FC211209334
      5New York City II201109333
      6Toronto II2210012-530
      7Philadelphia Union II2210012-530
      8FC Cincinnati II216015-2316
      1Crown Legacy2217052448
      2Chattanooga2315081144
      3Chicago Fire II22120101136
      4Orlando City II2312011-135
      5Atlanta United II2210012934
      6Huntsville City229013-729
      7Carolina Core238015-826
      8Inter Miami II202018-338
      1Portland Timbers II221507445
      2Ventura County2214081741
      3Los Angeles FC II2111010135
      4Tacoma Defiance2211011-233
      5The Town20100101431
      6Real Monarchs2210012-1126
      7Vancouver Whitecaps II227015-2119
      1Austin II2116052549
      2Houston Dynamo FC II2116052445
      3St. Louis City II2212010135
      4Minnesota United II2210012-530
      5North Texas209011329
      6Sporting KC II216015-2619
      7Colorado Rapids II223019-2413
      1Crown Legacy2217052448
      2Chattanooga2315081144
      3New England II2114071042
      4Columbus Crew II211407439
      5New York RB II2312011738
      6Chicago Fire II22120101136
      7Orlando City II2312011-135
      8Atlanta United II2210012934
      9Connecticut FC211209334
      10New York City II201109333
      11Toronto II2210012-530
      12Philadelphia Union II2210012-530
      13Huntsville City229013-729
      14Carolina Core238015-826
      15FC Cincinnati II216015-2316
      16Inter Miami II202018-338
      1Austin II2116052549
      2Houston Dynamo FC II2116052445
      3Portland Timbers II221507445
      4Ventura County2214081741
      5St. Louis City II2212010135
      6Los Angeles FC II2111010135
      7Tacoma Defiance2211011-233
      8The Town20100101431
      9Minnesota United II2210012-530
      10North Texas209011329
      11Real Monarchs2210012-1126
      12Sporting KC II216015-2619
      13Vancouver Whitecaps II227015-2119
      14Colorado Rapids II223019-2413

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.