Parmer Filed · Analysis updated 23:48 UTC
Austin II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.88 expected goals for Austin II and 0.76 for Vancouver Whitecaps II, a combined total of 3.64. That distribution gives Austin II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws roughly 20% of the time.
Model pick
Austin II to Win
80.4% probability
Expected goals
2.88 – 0.76
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
93%
Double chance 12
88%
Double chance X2
20%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.9%
- 3–010.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 3–17.9%
- 1–07.6%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Austin II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 80%, against 80% / 13% / 7% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.88 goals for Austin II and 0.76 for Vancouver Whitecaps II, a combined 3.64 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 50%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Austin II to Win is the headline pick at 80% with high confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Austin II
Vancouver Whitecaps II
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
MLS Next Pro table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.