Auxerre vs Strasbourg Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.47 expected goals for Auxerre and 1.26 for Strasbourg, a combined total of 3.73. That distribution gives Auxerre the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws roughly 36% of the time.

Model pick

Auxerre to Win

63.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.47 – 1.26

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Auxerre win64%

Draw18%

Strasbourg win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

36%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals51%

Both teams to score66%

Correct score

2–19.2%
3–17.6%
1–17.5%
2–07.3%
3–06.0%

Why the model likes this

Auxerre home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Strasbourg away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Auxerre to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 18% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.47 goals for Auxerre and 1.26 for Strasbourg, a combined 3.73 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Auxerre

2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Estac Troyes · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sochaux · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Orleans · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs St Maur Lusitanos · 5-2 (W)
2026-05-17T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Lille · 2-0 (W)

Strasbourg

2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SC Freiburg · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Elversberg · 2-5 (L)
2026-08-01T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Brighton · 3-4 (L)
2026-07-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Blackburn · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-20T19:15:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP · 0-7 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.