Portugal · Júniores U19 · Regular Season - 810:00

22

Saturday, 4 April 2026

· Analysis updated 02:42 UTC

Benfica U19 vs Sporting CP U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.71 expected goals for Benfica U19 and 0.80 for Sporting CP U19, a combined total of 1.51. That distribution gives Sporting CP U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 35%, with the draw at 37%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 20% for over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 35% favourite still loses or draws roughly 66% of the time.

Model pick

Benfica U19 or Draw

65.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.71 – 0.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Benfica U19 win29%
Draw37%
Sporting CP U19 win35%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

64%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals45%
Over 2.5 goals20%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Both teams to score28%

Correct score

  • 0–022.0%
  • 0–117.7%
  • 1–015.6%
  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–27.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Benfica U19 home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 29% / 37% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.71 goals for Benfica U19 and 0.80 for Sporting CP U19, a combined 1.51 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 20% and both teams to score at 28%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%.

Recent form

Benfica U19

  • 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Oriental U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Famalicão U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs União Leiria U19 · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-05-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rio Ave U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Gil Vicente U19 · 6-0 (W)

Sporting CP U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Júniores U19 table

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    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.