Germany · Regionalliga - West · West - 614:00
Bochum IILLD

14:00 UTC

Tuesday, 1 September 2026

Köln IIDW

· Analysis updated 02:43 UTC

Bochum II vs Köln II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Bochum II and 1.44 for Köln II, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Köln II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Köln II or Draw

65.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.44

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Bochum II win35%
Draw25%
Köln II win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 2–18.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Köln II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 35% / 25% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.34 goals for Bochum II and 1.44 for Köln II, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

  • Model confidence

    Köln II or Draw is the headline pick at 65% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Bochum II

    Köln II

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Regionalliga - West table

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      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.