Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.00 expected goals for Bodo/Glimt and 3.00 for Union St. Gilloise, a combined total of 6.00. That distribution gives Bodo/Glimt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 93% for over 2.5 goals and 90% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Bodo/Glimt or Draw

58.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

3.00 – 3.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Bodo/Glimt win42%

Draw17%

Union St. Gilloise win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals98%

Over 2.5 goals93%

Over 3.5 goals84%

Both teams to score90%

Correct score

2–25.0%
2–35.0%
3–25.0%
3–35.0%
2–43.8%

Why the model likes this

Bodo/Glimt home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Union St. Gilloise away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bodo/Glimt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 17% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.00 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 3.00 for Union St. Gilloise, a combined 6.00 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Bodo/Glimt

2026-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Union St. Gilloise · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Valerenga · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Union St. Gilloise · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-31T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Lillestrom · 4-0 (W)
2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandefjord · 3-0 (W)

Union St. Gilloise

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zulte Waregem · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Bodo/Glimt · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-08T18:45:00.000Z · A vs KVC Westerlo · 5-1 (W)
2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Bodo/Glimt · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-31T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Club Brugge KV · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.