Botafogo PB vs Confiança Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Botafogo PB and 0.65 for Confiança, a combined total of 2.04. That distribution gives Botafogo PB the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.

Model pick

Botafogo PB to Win

54.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.39 – 0.65

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Botafogo PB win55%

Draw28%

Confiança win18%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals61%

Over 2.5 goals34%

Over 3.5 goals15%

Both teams to score36%

Correct score

1–018.0%
0–013.0%
2–012.5%
1–111.8%
0–18.5%

Why the model likes this

Botafogo PB home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Botafogo PB to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 28% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.39 goals for Botafogo PB and 0.65 for Confiança, a combined 2.04 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 34% and both teams to score at 36%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%.

Recent form

Botafogo PB

2026-08-08T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Santa Cruz · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-26T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Caxias · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-12T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Confiança · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-06T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Anápolis · 2-0 (W)
2026-06-30T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Brusque · 2-0 (W)

Confiança

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Serie C table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter De Limeira	16	8	4	4	3	28
2	Botafogo PB	17	8	3	6	5	27
3	Brusque	16	8	3	5	5	27
4	Paysandu	16	8	2	6	3	26
5	Guarani Campinas	16	7	5	4	12	26
6	Santa Cruz	16	7	4	5	4	25
7	Ypiranga-RS	16	7	3	6	2	24
8	Amazonas	17	7	3	7	-2	24
9	Caxias	16	6	6	4	4	24
10	Ferroviária	16	6	6	4	3	24
11	Maringá	16	6	5	5	0	23
12	Ituano	17	6	4	7	0	22
13	Volta Redonda	17	6	3	8	-9	21
14	Floresta	16	5	6	5	-2	21
15	Maranhão	16	5	6	5	-2	21
16	Figueirense	16	5	6	5	-5	21
17	AO Itabaiana	16	4	5	7	-7	17
18	Anápolis	16	4	3	9	-5	15
19	Barra	16	3	6	7	-2	15
20	Confiança	16	3	3	10	-7	12

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.