Braintree vs Farnborough Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.61 expected goals for Braintree and 1.55 for Farnborough, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives Braintree the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.

Model pick

Braintree or Draw

63.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Braintree win39%

Draw24%

Farnborough win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score63%

Correct score

1–110.6%
2–18.5%
1–28.2%
1–06.9%
0–16.6%

Why the model likes this

Braintree home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Braintree to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 24% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.61 goals for Braintree and 1.55 for Farnborough, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Braintree

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chesham United · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tonbridge Angels · 0-4 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Aldershot Town · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Felixstowe & Walton Utd · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Colchester United U21 · 4-0 (W)

Farnborough

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

National League - South table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Weston-super-Mare	2	2	0	0	6	6
2	Dagenham & Redbridge	2	2	0	0	2	6
3	AFC Totton	2	2	0	0	2	6
4	Salisbury	2	1	1	0	5	4
5	Hemel Hempstead Town	2	1	1	0	2	4
6	Truro City	2	1	1	0	2	4
7	Torquay	2	1	1	0	1	4
8	Folkestone Invicta	1	1	0	0	4	3
9	Tonbridge Angels	2	1	0	1	3	3
10	Maidstone Utd	2	1	0	1	2	3
11	Billericay Town	2	1	0	1	1	3
12	Dover	2	1	0	1	0	3
13	Farnborough	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Braintree	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Horsham	2	0	2	0	0	2
16	Chelmsford City	2	0	2	0	0	2
17	Dorking Wanderers	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Maidenhead	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Ebbsfleet United	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Slough Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Farnham Town	2	0	0	2	-2	0
22	Chesham United	2	0	0	2	-4	0
23	Walton & Hersham	2	0	0	2	-7	0
24	Hampton & Richmond	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.