Sweden · Damallsvenskan · Regular Season - 1812:00

12:00 UTC

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Grimsta IP · Analysis updated 00:49 UTC

Brommapojkarna W vs Norrköping W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Brommapojkarna W and 1.47 for Norrköping W, a combined total of 2.79. That distribution gives Norrköping W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Norrköping W or Draw

65.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.47

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Brommapojkarna W win34%
Draw25%
Norrköping W win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 2–17.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Brommapojkarna W home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Norrköping W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Norrköping W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 34% / 25% / 41% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.33 goals for Brommapojkarna W and 1.47 for Norrköping W, a combined 2.79 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Brommapojkarna W

  • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Häcken W · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AIK W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Djurgården W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-06-24T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Växjö W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vittsjö W · 1-2 (L)

Norrköping W

  • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hammarby W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-06-24T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Vittsjö W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosengård W · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Damallsvenskan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Häcken W1413013139
2Hammarby W1311112534
3Malmö FF W147431925
4AIK W14734124
5Eskilstuna United W14725-523
6Vittsjö W14635021
7Kristianstad W13535-318
8Piteå W13436-515
9Brommapojkarna W14509-1315
10Växjö W14428-614
11Djurgården W14428-614
12Norrköping W13265-312
13Rosengård W14248-510
14Uppsala W141310-306

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.