· Analysis updated 02:59 UTC
Chênois vs Prishtina Bern Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.79 expected goals for Chênois and 1.86 for Prishtina Bern, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives Prishtina Bern the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.
Model pick
Prishtina Bern or Draw
62.3% probability
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.86
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.7%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–17.7%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.0%
Why the model likes this
Prishtina Bern away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Prishtina Bern to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 38% / 22% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.79 goals for Chênois and 1.86 for Prishtina Bern, a combined 3.65 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Chênois
Prishtina Bern
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Portalban / Gletterens · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sion II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-23T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Biel-Bienne · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-16T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Young Boys II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-13T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Solothurn · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Chaux-de-Fonds | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sion II | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Naters | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Echallens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Prishtina Bern | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Meyrin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Portalban / Gletterens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lancy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Monthey | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Servette II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Stade Payerne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Coffrane | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Lausanne Sport II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Chênois | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Azzurri | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vevey Sports | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.