Cobh Ramblers vs Longford Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.27 expected goals for Cobh Ramblers and 1.45 for Longford Town, a combined total of 2.72. That distribution gives Longford Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Longford Town or Draw

66.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Cobh Ramblers win33%

Draw26%

Longford Town win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals29%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–112.1%
0–19.5%
1–28.8%
1–08.4%
2–17.7%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates Longford Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 33% / 26% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.27 goals for Cobh Ramblers and 1.45 for Longford Town, a combined 2.72 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 51% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Model confidence
Longford Town or Draw is the headline pick at 67% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Cobh Ramblers

Longford Town

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

First Division table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cork City	27	20	3	4	34	63
2	Bray Wanderers	27	12	7	8	17	43
3	UCD	27	13	4	10	14	43
4	Longford Town	27	10	7	10	1	37
5	Cobh Ramblers	27	11	4	12	-8	37
6	Kerry	27	9	8	10	1	35
7	Wexford	27	9	7	11	-7	34
8	Athlone Town	27	8	7	12	-7	31
9	Treaty United	27	7	8	12	-13	29
10	Finn Harps	27	5	7	15	-32	22

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.