Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 · Group 1 - 713:00

13:00 UTC

Sunday, 20 September 2026

· Analysis updated 01:52 UTC

Coffrane vs Prishtina Bern Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Coffrane and 1.61 for Prishtina Bern, a combined total of 3.26. That distribution gives Coffrane the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.

Model pick

Coffrane or Draw

62.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.65 – 1.61

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Coffrane win39%
Draw23%
Prishtina Bern win38%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–06.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Coffrane to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 23% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.65 goals for Coffrane and 1.61 for Prishtina Bern, a combined 3.26 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

  • Model confidence

    Coffrane or Draw is the headline pick at 63% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Coffrane

    Prishtina Bern

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1La Chaux-de-Fonds220026
      2Sion II211024
      3Naters211014
      4Echallens211014
      5Prishtina Bern211014
      6Meyrin110043
      7Portalban / Gletterens210113
      8Lancy210103
      9Monthey202002
      10Servette II101001
      11Stade Payerne2011-11
      12Coffrane2011-11
      13Lausanne Sport II2011-21
      14Chênois2002-20
      15Azzurri1001-20
      16Vevey Sports1001-40

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.