· Analysis updated 23:51 UTC
Collina d'Oro vs Eschen / Mauren Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Collina d'Oro and 1.50 for Eschen / Mauren, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Eschen / Mauren the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.
Model pick
Eschen / Mauren or Draw
68.3% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–17.5%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eschen / Mauren to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 32% / 25% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Collina d'Oro and 1.50 for Eschen / Mauren, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Model confidence
Eschen / Mauren or Draw is the headline pick at 68% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Collina d'Oro
Eschen / Mauren
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.