Romania · Liga II · Regular Season - 608:00
ConcordiaWWW

08:00 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Stadionul Concordia · Analysis updated 02:44 UTC

Concordia vs CS Afumati Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.40 expected goals for Concordia and 0.85 for CS Afumati, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Concordia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws roughly 28% of the time.

Model pick

Concordia to Win

71.7% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.40 – 0.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Concordia win72%
Draw17%
CS Afumati win12%

Double chance 1X

89%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

28%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score52%

Correct score

  • 2–011.2%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 3–08.9%
  • 1–17.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Concordia home form

    7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • CS Afumati away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Concordia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 17% / 12% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.40 goals for Concordia and 0.85 for CS Afumati, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Concordia

  • 2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloria Bistriţa · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Bihor Oradea · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea Suceava · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-18T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Chindia Targoviste · 3-2 (W)

CS Afumati

  • 2026-08-15T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Chindia Targoviste · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Dunarea Calarasi · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalul Buzău · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Dinamo București · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-11T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti · 5-4 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.