Cosenza vs Potenza Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Cosenza and 1.18 for Potenza, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Cosenza the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Cosenza or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Cosenza win44%

Draw26%

Potenza win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Cosenza home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Potenza away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cosenza to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Cosenza and 1.18 for Potenza, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Cosenza

2026-05-06T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Casarano · 1-5 (L)
2026-04-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Cavese · 1-1 (D)
2026-04-19T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Trapani 1905 · 1-0 (W)
2026-04-13T18:30:00.000Z · A vs AZ Picerno · 1-3 (L)
2026-04-04T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Foggia · 1-0 (W)

Potenza

2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Ascoli · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Juve Stabia · 0-4 (L)
2026-05-20T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ascoli · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-17T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ascoli · 0-0 (D)
2026-05-13T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Campobasso FC · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-03-05T19:30:00.000Z · Cosenza 4-1 Potenza (Serie C - Girone C)
2025-10-26T13:30:00.000Z · Cosenza 3-0 Potenza (Serie C - Girone C)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.