Cristo Atlético vs Cultural Leonesa II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Cristo Atlético and 0.88 for Cultural Leonesa II, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Cristo Atlético the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 43% of the time.

Model pick

Cristo Atlético to Win

57.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.73 – 0.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Cristo Atlético win58%

Draw24%

Cultural Leonesa II win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals26%

Both teams to score48%

Correct score

1–012.8%
1–111.2%
2–011.1%
2–19.7%
0–07.4%

Why the model likes this

Cristo Atlético home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cristo Atlético to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 24% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.73 goals for Cristo Atlético and 0.88 for Cultural Leonesa II, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 48%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Cristo Atlético

2026-08-15T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Laredo · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Palencia CF · 1-0 (W)
2026-05-17T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Palencia CF · 0-2 (L)
2026-05-10T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Colegios Diocesanos · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Unionistas II · 0-1 (L)

Cultural Leonesa II

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.