World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round17:00
Dinamo MinskWDWWW

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Thursday, 13 August 2026

Stadion Beroe · Referee K. Szabolcs · Analysis updated 07:08 UTC

Dinamo Minsk vs SC Braga Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Dinamo Minsk and 1.28 for SC Braga, a combined total of 2.33. That distribution gives SC Braga the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

SC Braga or Draw

69.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.05 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo Minsk win31%
Draw28%
SC Braga win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–112.4%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 1–28.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Dinamo Minsk home form

    1 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • SC Braga away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates SC Braga to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 31% / 28% / 42% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.05 goals for Dinamo Minsk and 1.28 for SC Braga, a combined 2.33 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Dinamo Minsk

  • 2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Braga · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-06T18:30:00.000Z · A vs SC Braga · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Neftchi Baku · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Neftchi Baku · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-07-16T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Sileks · 1-0 (W)

SC Braga

  • 2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Minsk · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-09T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Moreirense · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-06T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Minsk · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Železničar Pančevo · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-22T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Železničar Pančevo · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.