Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · Regular Season - 2813:00

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Wednesday, 24 June 2026

Jamhuri Stadium · Analysis updated 05:46 UTC

Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for Dodoma Jiji and 1.35 for JKT Tanzania, a combined total of 2.67. That distribution gives JKT Tanzania the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.

Model pick

JKT Tanzania or Draw

63.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Dodoma Jiji win36%
Draw26%
JKT Tanzania win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Dodoma Jiji home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 meetings.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates JKT Tanzania to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 36% / 26% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.32 goals for Dodoma Jiji and 1.35 for JKT Tanzania, a combined 2.67 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Dodoma Jiji

  • 2026-08-14T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Pamba Jiji · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Azam · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mbeya City · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs JKT Tanzania · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Singida Black Stars · 0-5 (L)

JKT Tanzania

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-06-24T13:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 0-0 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
    • 2026-01-30T16:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 1-0 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
    • 2025-04-03T13:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 2-2 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
    • 2024-10-26T16:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 1-0 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
    • 2024-04-16T16:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 0-0 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
    • 2023-10-30T13:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 1-0 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
    • 2021-02-14T13:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 2-1 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
    • 2020-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 2-0 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.