Jamhuri Stadium · Analysis updated 05:46 UTC
Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for Dodoma Jiji and 1.35 for JKT Tanzania, a combined total of 2.67. That distribution gives JKT Tanzania the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.
Model pick
JKT Tanzania or Draw
63.6% probability
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.3%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
Why the model likes this
Dodoma Jiji home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates JKT Tanzania to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 36% / 26% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.32 goals for Dodoma Jiji and 1.35 for JKT Tanzania, a combined 2.67 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Dodoma Jiji
- 2026-08-14T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Pamba Jiji · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Azam · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mbeya City · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs JKT Tanzania · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Singida Black Stars · 0-5 (L)
JKT Tanzania
Head-to-head
- 2026-06-24T13:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 0-0 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
- 2026-01-30T16:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 1-0 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
- 2025-04-03T13:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 2-2 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
- 2024-10-26T16:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 1-0 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
- 2024-04-16T16:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 0-0 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
- 2023-10-30T13:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 1-0 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
- 2021-02-14T13:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 2-1 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
- 2020-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · Dodoma Jiji 2-0 JKT Tanzania (Ligi kuu Bara)
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.