Japan · J2/J3 League · Placement Play-offs - Semi-Finals07:00
Ehime FCLLLWL

01

Saturday, 30 May 2026

Ningineer Stadium · Analysis updated 02:59 UTC

Ehime FC vs Roasso Kumamoto Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.37 expected goals for Ehime FC and 0.87 for Roasso Kumamoto, a combined total of 2.24. That distribution gives Ehime FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.

Model pick

Ehime FC to Win

48.4% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.37 – 0.87

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ehime FC win48%
Draw28%
Roasso Kumamoto win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams to score43%

Correct score

  • 1–014.5%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–010.6%
  • 2–09.9%
  • 0–19.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Roasso Kumamoto away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Ehime FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 28% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.37 goals for Ehime FC and 0.87 for Roasso Kumamoto, a combined 2.24 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% and both teams to score at 43%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

Ehime FC

    Roasso Kumamoto

    • 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Tochigi SC · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-08-08T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sagamihara · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-07-19T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Yokohama F. Marinos · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-06-06T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Sagamihara · 0-3 (L)
    • 2026-05-30T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Ehime FC · 1-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    J2/J3 League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Vegalta Sendai1811521743
    2Blaublitz Akita181125935
    3Shonan Bellmare18846631
    4Yokohama FC18837729
    5Sagamihara18756-228
    6Thespakusatsu Gunma18648-1023
    7Montedio Yamagata186210-522
    8Tochigi City18549-1321
    9Vanraure Hachinohe18468-420
    10Tochigi SC18459-518
    1Ventforet Kofu181035835
    2Consadole Sapporo18927431
    3Iwaki18765431
    4Omiya Ardija189271030
    5Fujieda MYFC18693430
    6FC Gifu18837-228
    7Matsumoto Yamaga186661026
    8Jubilo Iwata18567-725
    9Fukushima United184410-1318
    10Parceiro Nagano183510-1816
    1Kataller Toyama1810531338
    2Albirex Niigata18954435
    3Tokushima Vortis189361432
    4Kochi United18846230
    5Ehime FC18837728
    6Kanazawa18576-627
    7Nara Club18549-921
    8Osaka18387-320
    9Imabari18549-420
    10Kamatamare Sanuki185310-1819
    1Tegevajaro Miyazaki1815212447
    2Kagoshima United18855833
    3Sagan Tosu188641032
    4Renofa Yamaguchi18756229
    5Roasso Kumamoto18828027
    6Gainare Tottori18657-427
    7Oita Trinita18639022
    8Biwako Shiga186210-1321
    9FC Ryukyu18279-1217
    10Kitakyushu184311-1515

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.