· Analysis updated 02:49 UTC
Eimsbütteler TV vs Phönix Lübeck Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.47 expected goals for Eimsbütteler TV and 2.06 for Phönix Lübeck, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Phönix Lübeck the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.
Model pick
Phönix Lübeck to Win
51.2% probability
Expected goals
1.47 – 2.06
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.1%
- 1–18.9%
- 2–26.7%
- 2–16.5%
- 1–36.3%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Phönix Lübeck to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 28% / 21% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.47 goals for Eimsbütteler TV and 2.06 for Phönix Lübeck, a combined 3.53 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 67%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Model confidence
Phönix Lübeck to Win is the headline pick at 51% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Eimsbütteler TV
Phönix Lübeck
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - Nord table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Oldenburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 II | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Weiche Flensburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Schöningen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Todesfelde | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | HSC Hannover | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Atlas Delmenhorst | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Bremer SV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Kickers Emden | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Eimsbütteler TV | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | SSV Jeddeloh | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 2 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | St. Pauli II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.