Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · North - 916:30

16:30 UTC

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

· Analysis updated 02:59 UTC

Eimsbütteler TV vs Werder Bremen II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.54 expected goals for Eimsbütteler TV and 2.01 for Werder Bremen II, a combined total of 4.55. That distribution gives Eimsbütteler TV the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Eimsbütteler TV to Win

50.1% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.54 – 2.01

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Eimsbütteler TV win50%
Draw19%
Werder Bremen II win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals83%
Over 3.5 goals66%
Both teams to score80%

Correct score

  • 2–26.9%
  • 2–16.9%
  • 3–25.8%
  • 3–15.8%
  • 1–25.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Eimsbütteler TV to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 19% / 31% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.54 goals for Eimsbütteler TV and 2.01 for Werder Bremen II, a combined 4.55 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 83% and both teams to score at 80%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

  • Model confidence

    Eimsbütteler TV to Win is the headline pick at 50% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Eimsbütteler TV

    Werder Bremen II

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

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      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.