Estac Troyes vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Estac Troyes and 1.07 for Stade Brestois 29, a combined total of 3.07. That distribution gives Estac Troyes the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.

Model pick

Estac Troyes to Win

58.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.07

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Estac Troyes win59%

Draw21%

Stade Brestois 29 win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams to score57%

Correct score

1–110.0%
2–19.9%
1–09.3%
2–09.3%
3–16.6%

Why the model likes this

Estac Troyes home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Estac Troyes to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 21% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Estac Troyes and 1.07 for Stade Brestois 29, a combined 3.07 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Estac Troyes

2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Panetolikos · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Auxerre · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-31T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Chasselay MDA · 5-2 (W)
2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Grenoble · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs RED Star FC 93 · 1-0 (W)

Stade Brestois 29

2026-08-08T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Venezia · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Briochin · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Guingamp · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Wakrah · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Concarneau · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.