Stadionul Central-Academia Gheorghe Hagi · Referee Vlad Baban, Romania · Analysis updated 02:48 UTC
Farul Constanta vs Corvinul Hunedoara Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Farul Constanta and 1.18 for Corvinul Hunedoara, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Farul Constanta the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Farul Constanta or Draw
69.8% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-baseline-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–07.7%
Why the model likes this
Corvinul Hunedoara away threat
Scored in 0 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Farul Constanta to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Farul Constanta and 1.18 for Corvinul Hunedoara, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Farul Constanta
Corvinul Hunedoara
- 2026-08-10T15:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Botosani · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-25T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanta · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-20T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Koper · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Arges Pitesti | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 4 | FCSB | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Farul Constanta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Rapid | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Universitatea Craiova | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Universitatea Cluj | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Oţelul | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Voluntari | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 4 |
| 13 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | FC Botosani | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Uta Arad | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.