Estadi de la FAF · Referee Rafael Sanchez Lopez, Spain · Analysis updated 23:55 UTC
FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.12 expected goals for FC Andorra and 0.86 for AD Ceuta FC, a combined total of 3.98. That distribution gives FC Andorra the largest share of the 1X2 market at 82%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 82% favourite still loses or draws roughly 19% of the time.
Model pick
FC Andorra to Win
81.5% probability
Expected goals
3.12 – 0.86
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
93%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
19%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–09.5%
- 2–09.1%
- 3–18.1%
- 2–17.8%
- 4–07.4%
Why the model likes this
FC Andorra home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Andorra to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 82%, against 82% / 12% / 7% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.12 goals for FC Andorra and 0.86 for AD Ceuta FC, a combined 3.98 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 55%, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
FC Andorra
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs AD Ceuta FC · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-07T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Huesca · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-06T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Zaragoza · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sabadell · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Europa Fc · 0-0 (D)
AD Ceuta FC
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Andorra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Mallorca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Castellón | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Cadiz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Celta de Vigo II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Granada CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Oviedo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Las Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Tenerife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Albacete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Eibar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Burgos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Almeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Girona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Sabadell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Eldense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 21 | Valladolid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.