St. Jakob-Park · Analysis updated 03:40 UTC
FC Basel 1893 vs FC Sion Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.42 expected goals for FC Basel 1893 and 1.80 for FC Sion, a combined total of 4.22. That distribution gives FC Basel 1893 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws roughly 48% of the time.
Model pick
FC Basel 1893 to Win
51.9% probability
Expected goals
2.42 – 1.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.7%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–16.4%
- 3–16.3%
- 1–25.7%
Why the model likes this
FC Basel 1893 home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Sion away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Basel 1893 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 19% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.42 goals for FC Basel 1893 and 1.80 for FC Sion, a combined 4.22 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
FC Basel 1893
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Courtételle · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Thun · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Lausanne · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Servette FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Juventus · 0-0 (D)
FC Sion
- 2026-08-13T18:15:00.000Z · H vs FC Noah · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Noah · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Luzern · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-30T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Bate Borisov · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | FC ST. Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Basel 1893 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lausanne | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Servette FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Luzern | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.