World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round16:00

22

Thursday, 6 August 2026

Abovyan City Stadium · Referee M. De Gabriele · Analysis updated 07:07 UTC

FC Noah vs FC Sion Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for FC Noah and 1.75 for FC Sion, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives FC Sion the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.

Model pick

FC Sion to Win

55.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FC Noah win22%
Draw24%
FC Sion win55%

Double chance 1X

45%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

79%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score52%

Correct score

  • 0–111.2%
  • 1–111.2%
  • 0–29.8%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–06.4%

Why the model likes this

  • FC Sion away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FC Sion to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 22% / 24% / 55% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.00 goals for FC Noah and 1.75 for FC Sion, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 52%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

FC Noah

    FC Sion

    • 2026-08-13T18:15:00.000Z · H vs FC Noah · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 3-2 (W)
    • 2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Noah · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-08-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Luzern · 3-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-30T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Bate Borisov · 4-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.