· Analysis updated 07:09 UTC
FC Porto vs Academico Viseu Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.77 expected goals for FC Porto and 0.82 for Academico Viseu, a combined total of 2.59. That distribution gives FC Porto the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws roughly 40% of the time.
Model pick
FC Porto to Win
60.0% probability
Expected goals
1.77 – 0.82
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.3%
- 2–011.8%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–07.5%
Why the model likes this
FC Porto home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Academico Viseu away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Porto to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 23% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.77 goals for FC Porto and 0.82 for Academico Viseu, a combined 2.59 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
FC Porto
- 2026-08-15T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Rio Ave · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Alverca · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T19:15:00.000Z · H vs Torreense · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Aston Villa · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-22T19:00:00.000Z · A vs GIL Vicente · 0-1 (L)
Academico Viseu
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Santa Clara · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-09T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Benfica · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-29T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Celta Vigo · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lusitânia Lourosa · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting CP B · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Santa Clara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | GIL Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Maritimo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Famalicao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Academico Viseu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Vitória SC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.