Stade de Tourbillon · Analysis updated 22:59 UTC
FC Sion vs Ajax Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.02 expected goals for FC Sion and 1.95 for Ajax, a combined total of 3.97. That distribution gives FC Sion the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.
Model pick
FC Sion or Draw
61.9% probability
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.5%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–27.2%
- 3–15.1%
Why the model likes this
Ajax away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Sion to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 21% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.02 goals for FC Sion and 1.95 for Ajax, a combined 3.97 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 76% and both teams to score at 74%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
FC Sion
Ajax
- 2026-08-13T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Shelbourne · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-09T12:30:00.000Z · A vs PEC Zwolle · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-06T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Shelbourne · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-02T12:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Volendam · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Vojvodina · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.