Kosovo · Superliga · Regular Season - 3614:00

23

Sunday, 31 May 2026

· Analysis updated 02:39 UTC

Ferizaj vs Llapi Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for Ferizaj and 1.33 for Llapi, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives Llapi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws roughly 63% of the time.

Model pick

Llapi or Draw

63.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ferizaj win37%
Draw26%
Llapi win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Ferizaj home form

    2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Llapi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 26% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.32 goals for Ferizaj and 1.33 for Llapi, a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Ferizaj

  • 2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Llapi · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Drenica Skënderaj · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukagjini · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Prishtina · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-05-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Malisheva · 1-1 (D)

Llapi

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Superliga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Drita36206101566
    2Malisheva3618513859
    3Ballkani36177122058
    4Dukagjini36131211651
    5Gjilani3614913-151
    6Drenica Skënderaj3615516-950
    7Prishtina36131013149
    8Llapi36131013-449
    9Ferizaj369918-1536
    10Prishtina e Re368721-2131

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.