Fyllingsdalen vs Varegg Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Fyllingsdalen and 1.84 for Varegg, a combined total of 3.19. That distribution gives Varegg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.

Model pick

Varegg to Win

49.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.84

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Fyllingsdalen win28%

Draw23%

Varegg win49%

Double chance 1X

51%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals40%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

1–110.2%
1–29.4%
0–17.6%
0–27.0%
2–16.9%

Why the model likes this

Fyllingsdalen home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Varegg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 28% / 23% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for Fyllingsdalen and 1.84 for Varegg, a combined 3.19 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Fyllingsdalen

2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Djerv · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Varegg · 0-4 (L)
2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Askøy · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Åsane II · 2-4 (L)
2026-06-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Austevoll · 0-2 (L)

Varegg

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division - Girone 3 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Os	15	12	0	3	32	36
2	Askøy	16	10	5	1	14	35
3	Djerv	16	8	5	3	16	29
4	Førde	16	8	2	6	3	26
5	Fana	16	8	1	7	8	25
6	Vard	16	7	4	5	4	25
7	Brann II	15	7	4	4	4	25
8	Austevoll	16	6	5	5	-5	23
9	Sogndal II	15	6	3	6	8	21
10	Stord	15	3	6	6	-15	15
11	Åsane II	15	3	4	8	-10	13
12	Gneist	16	4	1	11	-19	13
13	Varegg	15	3	3	9	-10	12
14	Fyllingsdalen	16	1	3	12	-30	6

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.