Spain · La Liga · Regular Season - 3315:00
GetafeL

15:00 UTC

Wednesday, 21 April 2027

Coliseum · Analysis updated 06:07 UTC

Getafe vs Real Betis Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for Getafe and 1.09 for Real Betis, a combined total of 2.04. That distribution gives Real Betis the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.

Model pick

Real Betis or Draw

68.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.95 – 1.09

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Getafe win31%
Draw30%
Real Betis win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals61%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams to score41%

Correct score

  • 0–114.1%
  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–013.0%
  • 1–012.4%
  • 0–27.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Getafe home form

    9 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Real Betis away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Real Betis to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 31% / 30% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.95 goals for Getafe and 1.09 for Real Betis, a combined 2.04 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Getafe

  • 2026-08-15T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Alaves · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tottenham · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-06T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Monaco · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-29T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Atletico Madrid · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Valladolid · 0-0 (D)

Real Betis

  • 2026-08-15T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Inter · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Bournemouth · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-05T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Arsenal · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Almeria · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-29T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyon · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alaves110033
2Sevilla110013
3Barcelona000000
4Real Madrid000000
5Villarreal000000
6Atletico Madrid000000
7Real Betis000000
8Celta Vigo000000
9Valencia000000
10Real Sociedad000000
11Espanyol000000
12Athletic Club000000
13Elche000000
14Levante000000
15Osasuna000000
16Racing Santander000000
17Deportivo La Coruna000000
18Malaga000000
19Rayo Vallecano1001-10
20Getafe1001-30

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.