Arena Katowice · Referee A. Tsakalidis · Analysis updated 07:08 UTC
GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for GKS Katowice and 1.68 for Hapoel Tel Aviv, a combined total of 3.42. That distribution gives GKS Katowice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.
Model pick
GKS Katowice or Draw
62.8% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.5%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–05.7%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates GKS Katowice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 23% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for GKS Katowice and 1.68 for Hapoel Tel Aviv, a combined 3.42 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 67%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Model confidence
GKS Katowice or Draw is the headline pick at 63% with medium confidence, from a data-quality score of 70/100 while season data is still limited.
Recent form
GKS Katowice
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.