De Adelaarshorst · Analysis updated 01:32 UTC
GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.36 expected goals for GO Ahead Eagles and 1.18 for ADO Den Haag, a combined total of 3.54. That distribution gives GO Ahead Eagles the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws roughly 36% of the time.
Model pick
GO Ahead Eagles to Win
63.7% probability
Expected goals
2.36 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
36%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.1%
- 1–18.1%
- 3–17.5%
- 1–06.9%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates GO Ahead Eagles to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 19% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.36 goals for GO Ahead Eagles and 1.18 for ADO Den Haag, a combined 3.54 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 63%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Model confidence
GO Ahead Eagles to Win is the headline pick at 64% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
GO Ahead Eagles
ADO Den Haag
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.