Nordic Wellness Arena · Analysis updated 02:21 UTC
Häcken W vs Malmö FF W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.71 expected goals for Häcken W and 1.13 for Malmö FF W, a combined total of 2.84. That distribution gives Häcken W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.
Model pick
Häcken W to Win
51.0% probability
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.5%
- 0–16.6%
Why the model likes this
Häcken W home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Malmö FF W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Häcken W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 24% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.71 goals for Häcken W and 1.13 for Malmö FF W, a combined 2.84 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Häcken W
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brommapojkarna W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Piteå W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilstuna United W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-06-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-06-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosengård W · 2-0 (W)
Malmö FF W
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vålerenga W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Piteå W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-27T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Vittsjö W · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Damallsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Häcken W | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 39 |
| 2 | Hammarby W | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 34 |
| 3 | Malmö FF W | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 25 |
| 4 | AIK W | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 24 |
| 5 | Eskilstuna United W | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Vittsjö W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | Kristianstad W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Piteå W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna W | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | -13 | 15 |
| 10 | Växjö W | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 14 |
| 11 | Djurgården W | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Norrköping W | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Rosengård W | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Uppsala W | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -30 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.