Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · North - 118:00

18:00 UTC

Friday, 21 August 2026

· Analysis updated 02:46 UTC

Hamburger SV II vs Eimsbütteler TV Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.64 expected goals for Hamburger SV II and 1.95 for Eimsbütteler TV, a combined total of 4.59. That distribution gives Hamburger SV II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.

Model pick

Hamburger SV II to Win

53.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.64 – 1.95

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hamburger SV II win53%
Draw18%
Eimsbütteler TV win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals83%
Over 3.5 goals67%
Both teams to score80%

Correct score

  • 2–16.9%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 3–16.1%
  • 3–25.9%
  • 1–15.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hamburger SV II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 18% / 29% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.64 goals for Hamburger SV II and 1.95 for Eimsbütteler TV, a combined 4.59 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 83% and both teams to score at 80%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

  • Model confidence

    Hamburger SV II to Win is the headline pick at 53% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Hamburger SV II

    Eimsbütteler TV

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

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      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.