Sweden · Damallsvenskan · Regular Season - 2013:00
Hammarby WWWDWL

13:00 UTC

Saturday, 26 September 2026

Hammarby IP · Analysis updated 02:52 UTC

Hammarby W vs Eskilstuna United W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.01 expected goals for Hammarby W and 0.45 for Eskilstuna United W, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives Hammarby W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws roughly 25% of the time.

Model pick

Hammarby W to Win

74.6% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.01 – 0.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hammarby W win75%
Draw18%
Eskilstuna United W win7%

Double chance 1X

93%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

25%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams to score31%

Correct score

  • 2–017.3%
  • 1–017.2%
  • 3–011.6%
  • 0–08.6%
  • 2–17.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Hammarby W home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hammarby W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 75%, against 75% / 18% / 7% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.01 goals for Hammarby W and 0.45 for Eskilstuna United W, a combined 2.45 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 44% and both teams to score at 31%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.

Recent form

Hammarby W

  • 2026-08-08T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Juventus W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-05T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Apolonia Fier W · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Norrköping W · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Piteå W · 1-1 (D)

Eskilstuna United W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Damallsvenskan table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Häcken W1413013139
    2Hammarby W1311112534
    3Malmö FF W147431925
    4AIK W14734124
    5Eskilstuna United W14725-523
    6Vittsjö W14635021
    7Kristianstad W13535-318
    8Piteå W13436-515
    9Brommapojkarna W14509-1315
    10Växjö W14428-614
    11Djurgården W14428-614
    12Norrköping W13265-312
    13Rosengård W14248-510
    14Uppsala W141310-306

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.