Hammarby IP · Analysis updated 00:48 UTC
Hammarby W vs Norrköping W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.21 expected goals for Hammarby W and 0.55 for Norrköping W, a combined total of 2.76. That distribution gives Hammarby W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 76%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 76% favourite still loses or draws roughly 25% of the time.
Model pick
Hammarby W to Win
75.5% probability
Expected goals
2.21 – 0.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
92%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
25%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–015.4%
- 1–014.0%
- 3–011.4%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–17.7%
Why the model likes this
Hammarby W home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Norrköping W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hammarby W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 76%, against 76% / 17% / 8% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.21 goals for Hammarby W and 0.55 for Norrköping W, a combined 2.76 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Hammarby W
- 2026-08-08T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Juventus W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-05T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Apolonia Fier W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Norrköping W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-06-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Piteå W · 1-1 (D)
Norrköping W
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hammarby W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-06-24T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Vittsjö W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosengård W · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Damallsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Häcken W | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 39 |
| 2 | Hammarby W | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 34 |
| 3 | Malmö FF W | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 25 |
| 4 | AIK W | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 24 |
| 5 | Eskilstuna United W | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Vittsjö W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | Kristianstad W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Piteå W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna W | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | -13 | 15 |
| 10 | Växjö W | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 14 |
| 11 | Djurgården W | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Norrköping W | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Rosengård W | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Uppsala W | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -30 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.