Huanglong Stadium · Referee Xin He, China · Analysis updated 23:00 UTC
Hangzhou Greentown vs Chengdu Better City Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.59 expected goals for Hangzhou Greentown and 1.86 for Chengdu Better City, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Chengdu Better City the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Chengdu Better City or Draw
66.7% probability
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.86
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.4%
- 1–28.7%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–15.9%
Why the model likes this
Chengdu Better City away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Chengdu Better City to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 33% / 22% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.59 goals for Hangzhou Greentown and 1.86 for Chengdu Better City, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 67%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 2.82 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.85 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 2.12 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.11 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 6.00 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.38 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 2.88 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 1.95 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.80 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 3.10 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 4.5 | 1.33 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.33 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 2.85 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.67 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.18 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.40 | 10Bet |
Recent form
Hangzhou Greentown
Chengdu Better City
- 2026-08-15T11:35:00.000Z · A vs Hangzhou Greentown · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Yunnan Yukun · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Wuhan Three Towns · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-26T11:35:00.000Z · H vs Beijing Guoan · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-21T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Yunnan Yukun · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.