Sweden · Division 2 - Södra Svealand · Södra Svealand - 1611:00
HaningeLDWWW

22

Saturday, 8 August 2026

FarstaWDDWL

Torvalla idrottsplats · Analysis updated 02:29 UTC

Haninge vs Farsta Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Haninge and 1.99 for Farsta, a combined total of 3.89. That distribution gives Farsta the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Farsta or Draw

62.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.99

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Haninge win38%
Draw21%
Farsta win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Both teams to score73%

Correct score

  • 1–17.7%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–35.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Haninge home form

    10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Farsta to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 38% / 21% / 41% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.90 goals for Haninge and 1.99 for Farsta, a combined 3.89 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 73%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Haninge

  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlslund · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Farsta · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fittja · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arlanda · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sleipner · 6-1 (W)

Farsta

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division 2 - Södra Svealand table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Forward1610331233
    2Nyköping1710251232
    3Haninge171025932
    4Sleipner17944231
    5Farsta179351630
    6Smedby179351130
    7Rågsved16754826
    8Fittja16727-123
    9Örebro Syrianska16529-217
    10Lindo FF175210-417
    11Karlslund17458-717
    12Syrianska FC16439-1315
    13Eker Örebro174211-2714
    14Nacka Iliria163211-1611

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.