Hibernian vs Gent Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.27 expected goals for Hibernian and 0.82 for Gent, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives Hibernian the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

Hibernian to Win

47.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.27 – 0.82

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hibernian win47%

Draw29%

Gent win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals62%

Over 2.5 goals35%

Over 3.5 goals16%

Both teams to score41%

Correct score

1–015.6%
1–112.9%
0–012.2%
0–110.1%
2–010.0%

Why the model likes this

Hibernian home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hibernian to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 29% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.27 goals for Hibernian and 0.82 for Gent, a combined 2.10 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 35% and both teams to score at 41%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Recent form

Hibernian

2026-08-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkendija · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Rangers · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Shkendija · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Motherwell · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Malisheva · 4-1 (W)

Gent

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.