· Analysis updated 01:36 UTC
Hinna vs Vindbjart Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Hinna and 3.02 for Vindbjart, a combined total of 4.52. That distribution gives Vindbjart the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws roughly 32% of the time.
Model pick
Vindbjart to Win
68.0% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 3.02
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
32%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
84%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–37.5%
- 1–27.5%
- 1–45.6%
- 2–35.6%
- 2–25.6%
Why the model likes this
Vindbjart away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vindbjart to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 17% / 16% / 68% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Hinna and 3.02 for Vindbjart, a combined 4.52 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 83% and both teams to score at 74%, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Hinna
Vindbjart
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Åkra · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Madla · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-08-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hinna · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-06-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stabæk II · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 4 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madla | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | Vindbjart | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 29 |
| 3 | Flekkerøy | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 29 |
| 4 | Mandalskameratene | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 |
| 5 | Viking II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 24 |
| 6 | Varhaug | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23 |
| 7 | Brodd | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | Stabæk II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Staal Jørpeland | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 19 |
| 10 | Haugesund II | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 18 |
| 11 | Våg | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -8 | 16 |
| 12 | Hinna | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -18 | 16 |
| 13 | Åkra | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -24 | 14 |
| 14 | Odd II | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.