South-Africa · 1st Division · Regular Season - 3013:00
Hungry LionsDWDLW

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Sunday, 17 May 2026

Milford FCDWWWL

Mxolisi Dicky Jacobs Stadium · Analysis updated 23:56 UTC

Hungry Lions vs Milford FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for Hungry Lions and 0.92 for Milford FC, a combined total of 2.03. That distribution gives Hungry Lions the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Hungry Lions or Draw

70.0% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

1.11 – 0.92

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hungry Lions win40%
Draw30%
Milford FC win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals60%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams to score40%

Correct score

  • 1–014.5%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–013.1%
  • 0–112.1%
  • 2–08.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Milford FC away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hungry Lions to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 30% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.11 goals for Hungry Lions and 0.92 for Milford FC, a combined 2.03 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 33% and both teams to score at 40%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

Hungry Lions

    Milford FC

    • 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Kruger United · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Siwelele · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Orlando Pirates · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-25T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Golden Arrows · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-06-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Magesi · 1-1 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1st Division table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Kruger United3018841662
    2Cape Town City3015962254
    3Milford FC3016681654
    4Casric Stars30141061952
    5Hungry Lions30141061652
    6Highbury3012612-342
    7Upington City3010911239
    8Lerumo Lions3010911039
    9Venda FC309912-536
    10The Bees309813135
    11University of Pretoria3081111-435
    12Leicesterfield309714-1834
    13Gomora United FC306159-1133
    14Midlands Wanderers308913-1633
    15Black Leopards3061014-1228
    16Baroka FC304818-2320

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.