Ilves II vs Honka Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for Ilves II and 2.39 for Honka, a combined total of 4.32. That distribution gives Honka the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.

Model pick

Honka to Win

48.6% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.93 – 2.39

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ilves II win32%

Draw20%

Honka win49%

Double chance 1X

51%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals80%

Over 3.5 goals63%

Both teams to score78%

Correct score

1–27.3%
2–27.1%
1–16.1%
2–15.9%
1–35.8%

Why the model likes this

Ilves II home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Honka to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 32% / 20% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.93 goals for Ilves II and 2.39 for Honka, a combined 4.32 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 80% and both teams to score at 78%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Recent form

Ilves II

2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs NJS · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs HJS Akatemia · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Musa · 7-0 (W)
2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs P-Iirot · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Honka · 2-2 (D)

Honka

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Kakkonen - Lohko B table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Honka	17	12	4	1	37	40
2	ÅIFK	17	11	3	3	19	36
3	HJS Akatemia	17	9	4	4	8	31
4	Ilves II	17	8	6	3	22	30
5	EPS	17	9	2	6	11	29
6	P-Iirot	17	8	3	6	6	27
7	GrIFK	17	6	3	8	-9	21
8	EBK	17	4	3	10	-14	15
9	Musa	17	2	3	12	-37	9
10	NJS	17	0	1	16	-43	1

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.