Tammelan Stadion · Analysis updated 02:41 UTC
Ilves II vs NJS Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Ilves II and 0.68 for NJS, a combined total of 5.18. That distribution gives Ilves II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 94%, with the draw at 4%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 94% favourite still loses or draws roughly 6% of the time.
Model pick
Ilves II to Win
93.8% probability
Expected goals
4.50 – 0.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
98%
Double chance 12
96%
Double chance X2
6%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–09.6%
- 5–08.6%
- 3–08.5%
- 4–16.5%
- 6–06.5%
Why the model likes this
Ilves II home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ilves II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 94%, against 94% / 4% / 2% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.50 goals for Ilves II and 0.68 for NJS, a combined 5.18 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 85% and both teams to score at 47%, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Ilves II
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs NJS · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs HJS Akatemia · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Musa · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs P-Iirot · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Honka · 2-2 (D)
NJS
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.